The 2025 California table olive forecast is 44,000 tons, down 10% from last year’s crop of 48,634 tons, according to a survey conducted by the USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Pacific Regional Office. Bearing acreage is estimated at 12,000, which results in a yield of 3.67 tons per acre. The Manzanillo production forecast is 41,500 tons, Sevillano production forecast is 2,400 tons, and other varieties are expected to total 100 tons.
Reported crop yields varied by both variety and growing region. Sevillano yields were reported to be lower than Manzanillo and both varieties are expected to have lower yields than last year. Insufficient labor, increasing input costs, and marketing issues continued to be major challenges for California olive growers.
SURVEY SAMPLE
There were 242 growers sampled for the survey. Reports from 192 were used to establish this forecast. The sample is designed to provide a State-level estimate of all varieties; estimates by variety are less precise.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
A special thanks goes to the many olive growers who participated in the survey. Time spent completing the survey is appreciated, and helpful in estimating current condition of the olive industry in California.
The California Table Olive Forecast is funded by the California Olive Committee.